schedule | scienceandcertainty

8:45 - 9:15: Breakfast (7th floor lounge, Humanities & Social Sciences Building)

LUNCH

9:15 - 9:30 Introduction and Welcome

9:30 - 11:20 Talking About Certainty: Possibility, Knowledge, and Other Disputed Terms

Gregory Stoutenberg (Iowa), "Unger’s Argument from Absolute Terms Revisited"

Discussion Leader: Jason Winning

11:30 - 1:20 Certainty and Early Modern Philosophy and Science

Nate Rockwood (Virgina Tech), "Locke on Scientific Knowledge"

Kyle Sereda (UCSD), "The Leibnizian Problem of Induction"

Discussion Leader: Dan Schwartz

4:30 - 6:20

Monte Johnson (UCSD), “A controversy about science and certainty in Aristotle’s Protrepticus”

Discussion Leader: Greg Salmieri

2:30 - 4:20 The Significance of Errors in the History of Science

Greg Salmieri (Rutgers/Stevens Institute)

Moti Mizrahi (St. John's University), "Testing the Pessimistic Induction"

Seungbae Park (Ulsan/Visiting UCSD), "The Anti-Induction for Scientific Realism" (Paper, Powerpoint)

Discussion Leader: Kyle Stanford

8:45- 9:15: Breakfast

SCHEDULE.

9:15 - 11:35 Risky Predictions

Stuart Armstrong (Future of Humanity Institute, via Skype). ""Predicting existential risks and extreme opportunities"

Jonathan Fuller (Toronto/Visitng UCSD), "Simple Extrapolation in Medicine: Risky Predictions about Relative Risks"

Jacob Stegenga (University of Utah/University of Victoria), "Medical Nihilism"

Discussion Leader: Ben Bayer

11:45 - 2:15 Certainty: Who Needs It?

Bennett Holman (UC Irvine), "Asymmetric Epistemic Arms Races"

Dan Schwartz (UCSD), "A Baconian Argument for the Indispensibility of Certainty"

Andrew Wong (UCSD), "The Pyrrhonian Case Against Certainty"

Discussion Leader: Monte Johnson

DINNER (for presenters and discussion leaders)